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Papers

Application of the Time Derivative (TD) Method for Early Alert of Influenza Epidemics

http://10.3346/jkms.2024.39.e40

  • AuthorBryan Inho Kim,Seul-Ki Kang,손우식
  • JournalJournal of Korean Medical Science (1011-8934), 39(4), e40 ~ -
  • Enrollment typeSCIE
  • publication date 20240129
Conclusion: The TD method is a time series analysis that enables early epidemic alert in real-time without relying on past epidemic information. It can be considered as an alternative approach when it is challenging to set an epidemic threshold based on past period information. This situation may arise when there has been a change in the typical seasonal epidemic pattern of various respiratory viruses, including influenza, following the COVID-19 pandemic.